6/27 - Kevin "Brooklyn Cowboy" Cox Aqueduct Selections

Just a pair of chalky winners for us here on Sunday, along with two Rolling Pick Threes of $198 & $281, and three Rolling Doubles of $40, $78 & $28.

We head into the final two weeks of the meet besting the takeout on the stand.

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Today's Beatable Favorite(s): None

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I'd like to leave this bit of info here for y'all. When we're using the DRF Formulator platform while writing our columns, if we say "Sprints", for the most part we mean any one turn race, and when we say "Routes", we mean any TWO turn race. ( For example, we consider a 1 1/8th mile race at Belmont an elongated sprint, and a 6 1/2 furlong race at a Charles Town a route. ) We feel this way, because in our eyes, it's the number of turns that necessitate more energy than being relaxed on a straightaway. Sometimes the sample size for our study can be too large to manually break down, so there may be a few from one category in another, but usually the end result is pretty much the same. Additionally, when it comes to layoffs, we consider more than 50 days in a dirt to dirt scenario a layoff, more than 58 days in D to T or T to D a layoff, and more than 67 days in a turf to turf deal a L/O. Furthermore, if we amend our selections for a wet track, and the track becomes fast, our original selections are in play.

#5 CHARISSE hasn't been in action since mid January, and now finds herself at her lowest level to date. When last seen, she was an honest runnerup finisher in a strung out field at this trip, and the winner from that day returned victorious when next in action. From a DRF Formulator standpoint, Hennig is on the Mark when it comes to his locally based female mid level dirt stock or breaks of 51 to 209 days (  at 12-1 or less ). He's 5:3-1-0 in that regards, with a positive ROI. #3 MOONLIT WEEKEND has shown precipitous improvement over her last troika, in having posted three consecutive career best speed figures. 4YO is showing a little bit of a "Z" pattern from the most recent, and sheds a pound while sliding in three slots for good guy David Duggan. #6 TOOT YOUR HORN ( Dig it. ) is up for grabs for the first time in today's second off the layoff engagement, and is as good as any for the show dough.

#1 DONEGAL MOMENTUM crushes with a clean trip. #5 KHAFRE went coast to coast like butter and toast against what we would consider to be a slightly tougher grouping last time out, and given that his best work has come beneath the seagulls, we have no problem with sliding beneath. #4 BANK FRENZY is another one coming in off of wire job, and also has a fondness for the strip. Should be in the thick of things late in today's third start off the respite.  NOTE: AS OF 1:05, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #2 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

#2 MIGHTY ATLAS is but a schnoz shy of shooting for the grand slam today, and you can feel free to upgrade the most recent by a few points, given the change in post positions as well as this fellow historically being better over a glib surface. Race goes directly through him. #5 SHADOW DRAGON closed out the exacta in his only second off the layoff try going one turn, and will likely be following the tire tracks of our top selection, looming to be the mainger danger here. #1 CUT THE CORD completed the triple the only time he was first to load, and gray gelding also closed out the exacta in his last second off the shelf engagement. Could do with some paste to cut into, but best work has come beneath today's helmsman.

These three and no more for all our rolling action. #3 REDO has the best collection of speed figures in this grouping, and jockey/trainer combination have done substantially better together than apart. Filly is up for grabs for the first time this afternoon, and would love to see a speed duel in front of her. Cross entered tomorrow at Churchill, so check the changes, & should be no worse than third for all you show grinders out there. #8 DAY AWAY came along honestly to pick up 20% of the pot down in Florida last time out, and also hit the board the only time she had a for sale sticker attached to her butt. Can't fault those taking a favorable view of this consistent runner. #9 ENIGMATIC has been just that over her abbreviated career, as she's been beset by three true layoff lines, while immolating some baccala along the way. Mixed signals.  OFF TURF: 4-5-2-7-1  NOTE: AS OF 1:07, THE #11 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

#6 PROPER GRAMMAR made too big of a middle move down in Wilmington a fortnight back, and flattened out turning for home that day. Mayor put forth a solid policing in a near identical spot just prior to that, and accomplished such at a robust 15 to 1 offering. You may get some inflated value here in this wide open event. #1 JULIANA'S ROSE has always been a bit of a fragile sort, but has been a part of the superfecta in three or four starts off a hibernation, and recognize that the lone tally came at this locale. #9 SUN AND WIND was shipped up to Finger Lakes to try and grab an easy check last time out, and after not being claimed to that afternoon, is sent back down here to face tougher. There's an upgrade in the irons today, so we'll toss in.

#4 POWER ATTACK shoots for his fourth consecutive wide to wire score this afternoon, and while we're not seeing it as a cinch, we like the fact that this barn is supported by a solid 6:3-2-0 formulator stat. Over the last 60 months they are just that with optional sod sprinters who scored less than 66 days back, and are 7-1 or less. The winners for that study paid $8 x 2 and $5, and there's a sub category of one for one right here. Both the #1 MAXWELL ESQUIRE ( 2 for 4 off of a break in the action in turf sprints ), and the #1A SCUTTLEBUZZ ( who is but a neck shy of being three for three when returning off a sabbatical on the green stuff ) comprise decent factions of the Rudy Rod entry. #2 TEN CENT TOWN has hit the board in his last quartet, and deserves a second shot going over the blades.  OFF TURF: 1-10(MTO)-3-4-2  NOTE: AS OF 1:19, THE #6 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.  NOTE: AS OF 4:07, DUE TO A LATE SCRATCH, THE #8 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

#5 WISECRACKER hasn't done much to get the pulse thumping thus far, but makes his first start on a fast surface while receiving Lasix this afternoon, and could take a big leap forward in the second off the bench engagement. Shedrow is a tight three or four with maiden claiming dirt stock receiving the wonder drug who missed the money 46 to 50 days back, but it would behoove you to demand a little bit of value here. #8 SPOOFY is another one in a second off the shelf jammie, and rates a chance to improve if able to stay clear of an ugly onset, which has been his nature at times. #2 ON THE LEDGE hasn't been seen since Hector was a pup, but takes the biggest drop in the game today and is an obvious factor if sound and fully cranked up.

We don't have the best of reads here, so tread lightly. #5 SELF CONFIDENT was perfectly spotted by Shug back on the 18th of May, when procuring the sheepskin by only a noggin'. Two or four comebackers from that heat got their Polaroids taken next out, ( from three sui generis races ) and there was an average Beyer improvement of 2.5 points. Flavor Flav now takes over, and that's fine by us as he's been lighting it up this meet. #8 PARISH LANE posted a career best numero when returning off an L/O, and while a regression is always possible off something like that, we have enough confidence in this outfit to feel that another goodie could be in the works. #1 HOLA GATA rounds out the top three, which is another way of saying that we have nothing else interesting to say about this deal, so we'll move on.  OFF TURF: 3-4-5-6-2  NOTE: AS OF 1:11, OUR SELECTIONS WILL BE 1-9.

#4 BOSSY JEANS hasn't been inn action since the fall, and now takes the drop of drops. As this miss went for just 37 large up north two years ago, being entered for 40K makes all kinds of sense. The adjusted numbers from the last two turf events tell us that she is obviously a major player here, but fitness is the only question. #9 LIL' HAYADOIN ( Sounds like she was named by a Brooklynite. ) has been befallen by back-to-back layoff lines, but is another on the plunge, and totes along a bullet breeze for today's return. #1 MAJULU has decent enough turf pedigree for today's debut, and the solid work tab tells us that she just may be able to navigate a decent trip.  OFF TURF: 3-13(AE)-1-11(AE)-2  NOTE: AS OF 1:15, THE #16 WILL BE OUR 3RD SELECTION.

Aqueduct Spring/Summer: 51-215 ( $371 )   Beatable Favorites: 4-10 ( 40% )    Favorite's Win %: 86-215 ( 40% )

Saratoga Spring  ( Final ): 7-47 ( $31.20 )       Beatable Favorites: N/A                 Favorite's Win %: 19-47   ( 40.4% )

Aqueduct  Spring( Final ): 28-136 ( $278.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 1-10 ( 10% )    Favorite's Win %: 57-136 ( 41.9% ) 

Aqueduct Winter ( Final ): 85-377 ( $616.70 ) Beatable Favorites: 5-16 ( 31.3% ) Favorite's Win % 139-377 ( 36.9% )

All Triple Crown, Breeders' Cup, Selected Grade 1's and Travers full days ( These are also counted in the "Dirt Tracks" category ): (2013-2023 Final ) 83-496 ( $779.60 )

Polytracks 2013-16 (All Final): 85-568 ( $819.20 )  Dirt Tracks 2013-24 (All Final):4175-20340 ($34,492.10) +/-: -15% against a 16.1% takeout

Beatable Favorites : 460-1716( 26.8% )Favorite's Win %: 7684-20491( 37.5% ) 

Cumulative Stats (All Final): 4195-20955 ( $35,442.60 )Beatable Favorites : 470-1762( 26.7% )Favorite's Win %: 7827-21077( 37.1% ) +/-: -15.4% against a 16.7% takeout